Forex Arbitrage Strategy – FX Leaders

What would happen if sovereign governments gave bitcoin a gold peg?

This is a totally theoretical post, but I believe it is a really interesting idea and would love to get the Internet's feedback on it, and what you think the ripple effects would be in the scenario described. Am very interested in writing this up and republishing it widely so it can be read by monetary policymakers in all major developed countries - if you know anyone like that, pass it on. In a move that would act like a bridge to a pre-Bretton Woods type of gold peg, (here is a great paper on a history of this in the US: https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R41887.pdf) sovereign governments with gold holdings could (again, it is a theoretical idea - I am saying they COULD do this NOT that anyone or any country is doing this that I know of) establish open market operations to purchase bitcoins (partly as a diversification strategy) using their physical gold holdings at a fixed peg rate of 5 ounces per bitcoin. The reason I say 5 is because the current chart here seems to suggest that somewhat of a convergence to 5 oz is already occurring: https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=XBT&to=XAU&view=10Y
If any government did this and offered to buy physically delivered bitcoins from private holders of bitcoin (no other coins just BTC) in exchange for private delivery of physical gold, then the standard governmental unit of physical gold (held in places like Fort Knox) - known as the Good Delivery Bar which is 400oz of gold - could be procured by any holder of 80 or more coins in a secure and sanctioned exchange with the government in question - the most impactful of course would be if the US did this.
My theory is that any time the exchange rate mechanisms in the forex or crypto markets violated the peg, there would be arbitrage opportunities that would bring the peg back in line. It would not only stabilize BTC, but the stabilization might spread via the 24/7 exchange rate mechanism in the crypto market to stabilize many cryptos that are still somewhat worthy experimental stores of value. Depending on the strength, credit, and depth of gold holdings of whatever governments engaged in this, it would seem that such a strategy could transform bitcoin into a new type of sound money, and also signal that owning bitcoin and gold is a priority of governments as well as their citizens. The gold standard was powerful both because it was tethered to something of limited quantity in the earth's crust with unique properties, but also because pre-Bretton Woods gold standards acted very much like a peg - and the government honored the peg no matter what. So in some sense it was still the "faith and credit of the government" that made that peg work so famously. I was partly inspired by this recent award-winning documentary www.inmoneywetrust.org in formulating this idea, and partly by my own academic interest in cryptocurrency. I believe bitcoin, above all others, because of its deflationary nature and algorithmically fixed quantity, is powerful all in itself - but with a peg from a real government to a real precious metal that many governments do in fact hoard (for whatever reason) - it could become both an international currency, and a form of truly sound money backed by governments' physical gold reserves and a legal or policy commitment to a peg of 5 ounces to 1 bitcoin.
What do you all think would happen if a major government or many major governments did this? Remember the idea is to convince monetary policymakers in governments to willingly and openly bypass completely the fiat currencies of their governments and to make no informational commitment to those free-floating fiat markets for forex - so the bitcoins transacted for in the peg wouldn't be bought with dollars or yen or anything that could be printed by fiat. This would simply be a convertibility guarantee by major governments that 1 bitcoin, transferred to the Treasury by a private citizen or business (again so the Treasury could diversify holdings of sound money), would be convertible and be guaranteed to be convertible to 5 oz of physical, deliverable gold bullion (or 80 bitcoins per bar). Here is a list of the largest physical gold holders on earth who could theoretically engage in this type of operation: https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/040715/what-countries-have-largest-gold-reserves.asp
Thanks Reddit! Looking forward to your thoughts!
Alex Kaufman
submitted by emersonian85 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Let's speculate around CFT

As you may have read in the last Medium, referees of the new referral program are going to earn 25 CFT when they join the exchange. Let's all speculate and find what CFT is :D

–– 200% speculation beyond this point, leveraged x100 ––
CFT stands for Coss Fiat Token, the purpose of this token is to represent Fiat value on the exchange. The actual problem we're facing is the lack of liquidity on all Fiat pairs. Let's take ETH as an example: There are multiple ETH Fiat pairs: ETH/USD, ETH/EUR, ETH/GBP. The more the pairs the less liquidity we have. Why don't they merge all those pairs on only one pair ETH/CFT ?
"Da f*ck, I want to know how much I pay for ETH in my home country, not in CFT !"
Exactly, no one cares of CFT, and that's why you shouldn't even see it. Every user in the world will choose (or will have it auto assigned) his currency: someone living in Europe will have EUR displayed and someone in the USA will have USD displayed, but also someone living in India will have Indian Rupee displayed.
"1 CFT = 1 EUR = 1 USD ???"
No, the CFT will only be a stable coin, its rate will depend on your home currency based on Forex prices. For example we could have 10 CFT = 10 USD = 8.82 EUR etc.

Positive impact:
– Liquidity will increase a lot on Fiat pairs (now and especially when we get more customers trading as liquidity brings traders and traders brings liquidity).
– Scalable model to integrate many countries: "I'm from xxxx country, there is not any market in my home currecny, why can't I trade Fiat. Help?". If the conversion is made on client side, Coss can integrate a lot of countries, lot of currencies with ease (as long as they can receive and send Fiat through banks at some point).
– Absolutely needed for the POS (Point Of Sale) we're waiting for something around Q2 2019: if a little shop in Australia want to integrate Coss solution to accept payments in crypto, they shouldn't have to accept USD nor EUR, they should get AUD directly, same for any shop in any country around the world. Customer pays in BTC, gets automatically converted to CFT and then AUD on client side.

Negative impact / Concerns:
– Less opportunities to make arbitrages on Coss through different Fiat pairs (a little bit less volume).
– Probably not the possibility to own more than one Fiat currency at the same time (in reality you would hold them all).
– Your balance might change over time as prices on Forex moves, meaning your 132 CFT might be worth 132$ at some point and 131.53$ one day after, people will have to get used to that.
– Can create some confusion to some users, especially as websites like Coinmarketcap wouldn't know how to classify the prices, as CFT wouldn't be used somewhere else (at least for some time).
– Fees might increase as some conversions will be needed depending on the home country of the users (people might deposit a lot of USD and others withdrawing a lot of EUR, how would Coss manage that as it might become a real threat over time if the total CFT market cap grows to 10-50M$ for example, the model needs to be really solid.
– How would it be managed on the API, would people got the prices in Fiat like on the exchange, or would they get the order books in CFT and would need to do their own conversions depending on the currency they want to use (as a personal user of the API, it seems that this would need to be considered).

Other points:
– Even if Coss make a promotion on it, CFT needs to be backed by real Fiat, even if 25 CFT is probably "only" 2.5-10$, it needs to be paid by someone, if not it's a Ponzi scheme obviously. That means Coss Ltd has to pay for those tokens, and I guess they do have an acquisition price per customer in mind, so this is not something I'm really afraid off, but very important for long term viability of the Fiat model.
– Wouldn't be a bad thing to give Fiat to people if they do their KYC, they would at least be able to test the exchange and try trading crypto before even having to send anything.

Now it's your turn to speculate, hope you enjoyed the ride ;)
submitted by thaodehx to CossIO [link] [comments]

Bitcoin/Ethereum Inverse Behavior?

Anyone got any valid explanations besides the obvious? (people converting btc to eth & vice versa).
I'm asking because if institutional investors are jumping on the cryptocurrency bandwagon I know it is being studied for arbitrage opportunities (don't even get me started on the forex opportunties). I couldn't decide between the ethereum sub & this sub, so went for the one with more eyes, hope you guys don't mind!
I understand that the dynamics & purposes of ethereum & bitcoin are fairly different, but I am hoping to gain some different perspectives on this financial component of these chains. Thanks
submitted by cliff-hanger to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Can we expect spreads to lower over time?

One of the use cases of Bitcoin is to serve as an intermediate currency for international remittances. Say I have EUR and want them converted to USD. First I do a EUBTC trade, then a Bitcoin transaction, and then a BTC/USD trade.
Assume that both trades are done simultaneously, that there are no exchange fees and no mining fees, and that there is no three-point arbitrage opportunity if EUR and USD could be locally converted for free at mid-market rate.
Then the cost of this international remittance is essentially the spread. As far as I can tell, the fiat-bitcoin spread on the most liquid exchanges is quite volatile, but often is around 0.3%.
As an entrepreneur building a business that does international remittances with Bitcoin as an intermediate currency, I have three questions:
submitted by bobthesponge1 to BitcoinMarkets [link] [comments]

[uncensored-r/Bitcoin] Bitcoin/Ethereum Inverse Behavior?

The following post by cliff-hanger is being replicated because the post has been silently greylisted(for 2.6 hours).
(It was approved by the mods at: 2017-10-14T15:45:45.000Z)
The original post can be found(in censored form) at this link:
np.reddit.com/ Bitcoin/comments/763cy9
The original post's content was as follows:
Anyone got any valid explanations besides the obvious? (people converting btc to eth & vice versa).
I'm asking because if institutional investors are jumping on the cryptocurrency bandwagon I know it is being studied for arbitrage opportunities (don't even get me started on the forex opportunties). I couldn't decide between the ethereum sub & this sub, so went for the one with more eyes, hope you guys don't mind!
I understand that the dynamics & purposes of ethereum & bitcoin are fairly different, but I am hoping to gain some different perspectives on this financial component of these chains. Thanks
submitted by censorship_notifier to noncensored_bitcoin [link] [comments]

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